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ECB's Knot: Uncertainty a negative for both inflation and growth in short run
Comments from Knot
ECB

China confirms US tariff reduction, highlights further future cuts
China highlights future tariff reductions
China

USD/CAD holds steady as Fed path and BoC divergence loom
USD/CAD is poised at a critical juncture following the release of April’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI), which delivered a mild downside surprise across key inflation components.
USDCAD
BOC
Fed
Majors
Currencies



Goldman Sachs now expects the ECB to reach terminal rate at 1.75% in July
They had previously expected the ECB to cut further to 1.50% in September
ECB


EUR offers no reaction to ZEW sentiment data – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is trading flat vs. the US Dollar (USD) and consolidating around 1.11 into Tuesday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis

CAD trading defensively as wider yield spreads remain a drag – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is entering Tuesday’s NA session with a marginal decline vs. the US Dollar (USD) as it continues to trade defensively in the aftermath of Monday’s broad-based USD rally, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
USDCAD
Banks
Technical Analysis
BOC
Canada

USD soft but holding on to recent gains ahead of inflation data – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (YSD) is trading softly against a narrow set of G10 currencies but holding on to the bulk of its recent gains as we head into Tuesday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis

USD/JPY steadies as BoJ stays hawkish amid US tariff uncertainty, breakout above 148.50 eyed
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is holding steady near 148.00 against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, pausing after a steep rise in the previous day. Despite the short pullback, the US Dollar remains resilient, supported by a temporary easing in US-China trade tensions.
Japan
USDJPY

Forexlive European FX news wrap: Encouraging improvement in soft data, US CPI next
Forex news from the European morning session on May 13, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe

US Trade Rep. Greer: We're moving as quickly as we can on trade deals
United States Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer told CNBC on Tuesday that it will take time to end non-tariff barriers with China.
UnitedStates
Macroeconomics

USTR Greer: We are moving as quickly as we can on trade deals
Comments from the US Trade Representative, Jamieson Greer
market overview

AUD/USD jumps above 0.6400 as antipodeans outperform on US-China tariff pause
The AUD/USD pair climbs to near 0.6410 during European trading hours on Tuesday. The Aussie pair strengthens on the outperformance of antipodeans after the United States (US) and China averted the trade war after agreeing to lower import duties following a two-day meeting in Switzerland.
AUDUSD
China
UnitedStates
Employment
Inflation

Mexican Peso strengthens on soft US CPI, focus shifts to Banxico rate decision
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is trading higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, supported by a rebound in global risk appetite and rising expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve stance following softer-than-expected inflation data released at 12:30 GMT.
USDMXN
Fundamental Analysis
Technical Analysis
Banxico
SEO

Chinese Copper imports have reached their limit – Commerzbank
In April, China imported a record-breaking 2.92 million tons of Copper ore and concentrate. Over the last 12 months, a total of 28.8 million tons were imported, which is also a record high.
Metals
Banks
Commodities
Copper
China

WTI extends winning streak on US-China trade truce
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, extends its winning streak for the fourth trading session on Tuesday. The Oil price climbs to near $62.00 as the 90-day agreement between the United States (US) and China to reduce tariffs substantially by 115% has boosted its demand outlook.
Oil
WTI
Fed
China
RussianFederation

US Dollar faces setback with traders mulling rate cut bets after tepid CPI reading
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, corrects to near 101.50 ahead of the US trading session on Tuesday.
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
SEO
TradeWar

Strong inflows into Chinese Gold ETFs in April – Commerzbank
The World Gold Council reported Gold ETF data for April last week, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Gold
Banks
Metals
XAUUSD
Commodities

USD/CNH can continue to weaken – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) could continue to weaken vs Chinese Yuan (CNH); the major support at 7.1700 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
Banks
Technical Analysis
USDCNH

ECB's Nagel: It's important to be cautious and not overreact
Comments from the ECB policymaker, Joachim Nagel
EUR

Silver, Platinum and Palladium also decline – Commerzbank
Silver, Platinum and Palladium initially rose after the tariff announcement yesterday, but subsequently also came under pressure in the wake of Gold, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Banks
Metals
Commodities
Silver
Platinum

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a 146.50/148.60 range – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a 146.50/148.60 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, further USD strength is likely, but it could first trade in a range for a few days; the level to monitor is 149.30, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USDJPY
Technical Analysis
Banks

Pound Sterling gains sharply against US Dollar on slower US inflation growth
The Pound Sterling (GBP) jumps to near 1.3250 against the US Dollar (USD) during North American trading hours on Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair strengthens as the US Dollar falls back after the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed that inflationary pressures cooled down in April.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
China
SEO

Gold price under pressure after announcement of tariff suspension – Commerzbank
The price of Gold fell by up to 3.5%, or more than $100, to just over $3,200 per troy ounce following the news of the temporary lifting of most of the reciprocal tariffs between the US and China, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Gold
XAUUSD
Banks
Commodities
Metals

USD/JPY holds gains as BOJ stays cautious on rate path – BBH
USD/JPY consolidates near recent highs as the BoJ’s cautious tone and low market-implied hike expectations contrast with ongoing dollar strength, BBH FX analysts report.
USDJPY
Banks
BOJ

NZD/USD is on the downside – UOB Group
The risk for New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is on the downside vs US Dollar (USD), but any decline is likely part of a lower range of 0.5835/0.5900.
NZDUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis

US April NFIB small business optimism index 95.8 vs 94.5 expected
Latest data released by NFIB - 13 May 2025
USD

Oil prices benefit from easing of trade conflict – Commerzbank
The surprising announcement of a significant reduction in reciprocal tariffs between the US and China led to a sharp rise in oil prices yesterday. Brent rose by up to 4% to more than $66 per barrel, WTI to $63.6 per barrel, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Oil
Banks
Energy
WTI

AUD/USD: Major support at 0.6330 is unlikely to come under threat – UOB Group
Slight increase in momentum suggests Australian Dollar (AUD) could test 0.6350 against US Dollar (USD); the major support at 0.6330 is unlikely to come under threat.
AUDUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks

CNY: Still facing the threat of deflation – Commerzbank
The latest inflation figures were published in China over the weekend, reporting on price developments in April. Consumer prices rose by 0.1% month-on-month, but the annual price change remained negative for the third consecutive month at -0.1%.
China
Banks
USDCNY
PBOC
USDCNH

GBP: Holding onto gains – ING
Today's UK labour market data has had no discernible impact on Pound Sterling (GBP), ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
UnitedKingdom

GBP/USD: Major support at 1.3070 may not come into view so soon – UOB Group
Pound Sterling (GBP) could retest the 1.3140 level vs the US Dollar (USD) before a more sustained recovery can be expected. In the longer run, GBP is expected to weaken, but the major support at 1.3070 may not come into view so soon, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
GBPUSD
Technical Analysis
Banks

JPY: A sound investment – Commerzbank
Japan's current account surplus remained solid in March. At JPY 3.7 trillion, this was slightly lower than in February. However, when calculated over the last twelve months, a new all-time high of JPY 30.4 trillion was reached, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.
Banks
Japan
USDJPY
BOJ
Technical Analysis

USD: April CPI print should keep the dollar supported – ING
FX markets are settling down after a lively Monday. It made sense for the Japanese yen and Swiss franc to sell off the hardest as Washington policy was re-appraised.
DollarIndex
Banks
Technical Analysis
Fed

BoE’s Pill: Should not assume MPR forecast is a direct endorsement of market interest rate curve
Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill said at an event in the London School of Economics (LSE) on Tuesday that markets “should not assume that the latest Monetary Policy Report (MPR) forecast is a direct endorsement of market interest rate curve.”
BOE
GBPUSD
CentralBanks
InterestRate
Inflation

Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Most recent article: Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver
Commodities
Metals

BoE's Pill: I do worry about upside risks to inflation in upside inflation scenario
Comments from BoE's policymaker, Huw Pill
GBP

GBP/USD pullback deepens after rejection at key resistance zone – Société Générale
GBP/USD is retreating after rejection near 1.3500, with bearish momentum reinforced by MACD crossover and a breach of short-term consolidation support. Next supports lie near 1.3070 and 1.3010, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
GBPUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis