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Market Outlook for the week of 12th - 16th May
Market Outlook for the week of 12th - 16th May
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Market Outlook for the week of 12th - 16th May
Highlights of the week include Australian labor market data, U.S. inflation and retail sales figures
AUD
USD
Reply
One good reason to be optimistic of US-China talks over the weekend
One good reason to be optimistic of US-China talks over the weekend
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
One good reason to be optimistic of US-China talks over the weekend
China rarely ever sounds this positive in painting the same picture as Trump's interpretation
Politics
Reply
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears await break below 1.1200 ahead of US-China joint statement
The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a weaker note amid a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, bolstered by the optimism over a US-China trade deal.
Technical Analysis
Currencies
EURUSD
TradeWar
Majors
Reply
Gold price selling bias remains unabated; bears retain control amid a combination of negative factors
Gold price selling bias remains unabated; bears retain control amid a combination of negative factors
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Gold price selling bias remains unabated; bears retain control amid a combination of negative factors
Gold price (XAU/USD) drops to a one-and-a-half-week low, around the $3,216 area, during the first half of the European session on Monday and seems vulnerable to slide further.
RiskAppetite
Fed
SEO
Gold
Commodities
Reply
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices fell in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Gold
Commodities
Metals
India
Reply
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Trades near 100.50, remains below channel’s upper boundary
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Trades near 100.50, remains below channel’s upper boundary
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Trades near 100.50, remains below channel’s upper boundary
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, is losing ground for the second successive session, trading near 100.60 during the Asian hours on Monday.
Technical Analysis
Majors
DollarIndex
Reply
Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for China's yuan
Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for China's yuan
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for China's yuan
USD/CNY to 7
CNY
CNH
Reply
USD/INR rises as India-Pakistan top military officials to speak as ceasefire holds
USD/INR rises as India-Pakistan top military officials to speak as ceasefire holds
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/INR rises as India-Pakistan top military officials to speak as ceasefire holds
The Indian Rupee (INR) weakens on Monday, pressured by increasing tensions on the border between the nuclear-armed rivals India and Pakistan. The renewed US Dollar (USD) demand following the optimism between US-China trade talks and a jump in crude oil prices could drag the Indian currency lower. 
EmergingMarkets
SEO
USDINR
India
Macroeconomics
Reply
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: US & China officials upbeat on trade talks
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: US & China officials upbeat on trade talks
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: US & China officials upbeat on trade talks
Forex news for Asian trading on Monday, May 12, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Asia
Reply
USD/CAD steadies near 1.3950 as US Dollar receives support from trade optimism
USD/CAD steadies near 1.3950 as US Dollar receives support from trade optimism
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
USD/CAD steadies near 1.3950 as US Dollar receives support from trade optimism
USD/CAD is attempting to hold its position for the fourth consecutive session, hovering around 1.3940 during Monday’s Asian trading hours. The pair remains supported as the US Dollar (USD) gains strength following reported progress in US-China trade talks over the weekend in Switzerland.
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
Majors
Macroeconomics
Reply
WTI sits near two-week high, just below $61.00 as traders await US-China trade deal details
WTI sits near two-week high, just below $61.00 as traders await US-China trade deal details
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
WTI sits near two-week high, just below $61.00 as traders await US-China trade deal details
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices rise to a nearly two-week high during the Asian session on Monday, though bulls struggle to find acceptance or build on the momentum beyond the $61.00 mark.
Oil
OPEC
TradeWar
WTI
Commodities
Reply
Australian Dollar depreciates due to positive US-China trade developments
Australian Dollar depreciates due to positive US-China trade developments
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Australian Dollar depreciates due to positive US-China trade developments
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is depreciating as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened after the release of a joint statement from the high-level trade negotiations held over the weekend in Geneva, Switzerland.
Australia
SEO
Majors
AUDUSD
Macroeconomics
Reply
Japanese Yen plummets to fresh one-month low against USD after US and China agree to lower tariffs
Japanese Yen plummets to fresh one-month low against USD after US and China agree to lower tariffs
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Japanese Yen plummets to fresh one-month low against USD after US and China agree to lower tariffs
The Japanese Yen (JPY) adds to intraday losses and touches a fresh one-month low against its American counterpart heading into the European session on Monday as the US-China trade deal optimism continues to weigh on safe-haven assets.
TradeWar
Fed
BOJ
SEO
USDJPY
Reply
Bank of England speakers Monday: Lombardelli, Greene, Mann, Taylor
Bank of England speakers Monday: Lombardelli, Greene, Mann, Taylor
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Bank of England speakers Monday: Lombardelli, Greene, Mann, Taylor
BoE
BOE
Reply
NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5900 on US-China trade optimism
NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5900 on US-China trade optimism
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
NZD/USD attracts some buyers above 0.5900 on US-China trade optimism
The NZD/USD pair gains traction to near 0.5925 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the Greenback amid easing concerns over a trade war between the United States and China.
Majors
NZDUSD
Macroeconomics
Reply
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
Japanese Prime Minister (PM) Shigeru Ishiba said on Monday that “autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters,” while setting out some outlines on trade negotiations.
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Japan
USDJPY
Reply
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Japan PM Ishiba: Autos, agriculture, airplane parts are all separate from security matters
Japan is drawing lines in negotiations
JPY
Reply
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.2066 (vs. estimate at 7.2429)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.2066 (vs. estimate at 7.2429)
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.2066 (vs. estimate at 7.2429)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
pboc
Reply
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2066 vs. 7.2095 previous
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2066 vs. 7.2095 previous
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2066 vs. 7.2095 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.2066 as compared to Friday's fix of 7.2095 and 7.2429 Reuters estimate.
Currencies
CentralBanks
USDCNY
PBOC
Reply
Goldman Sachs forecasts - Brent/WTI average $60/56 in the rest of 2025, and $56/52 in 2026
Goldman Sachs forecasts - Brent/WTI average $60/56 in the rest of 2025, and $56/52 in 2026
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Goldman Sachs forecasts - Brent/WTI average $60/56 in the rest of 2025, and $56/52 in 2026
Expects solid supply growth
Oil
Reply
EUR/USD trades below 1.1250, eases due to ECB dovish signals
EUR/USD trades below 1.1250, eases due to ECB dovish signals
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
EUR/USD trades below 1.1250, eases due to ECB dovish signals
EUR/USD is retreating from gains posted in the previous session, trading near 1.1240 during Monday’s Asian session.
ECB
EURUSD
Eurozone
Majors
Macroeconomics
Reply
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD tumbles below $3,300 on progress in US-China trade talks 
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD tumbles below $3,300 on progress in US-China trade talks 
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD tumbles below $3,300 on progress in US-China trade talks 
The Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers to near $3,275 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar (USD). Optimism in US-China trade talks in Geneva, Switzerland, over the weekend has dragged the precious metal lower. 
XAUUSD
Gold
Commodities
Macroeconomics
Reply
Awaiting the joint statement from China and the US on Geneva trade talks - no time set
Awaiting the joint statement from China and the US on Geneva trade talks - no time set
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Awaiting the joint statement from China and the US on Geneva trade talks - no time set
Update
China
USD
Reply
GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength
GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
GBP/USD trades with negative bias below 1.3300 amid modest USD strength
The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a weaker note and reverses a part of Friday's modest recovery from the vicinity of the 1.3200 mark, or over a three-week low.
Recession
Currencies
TradeWar
Fed
GBPUSD
Reply
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2429 – Reuters estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2429 – Reuters estimate
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2429 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
pboc
Reply
Japan: April bank loans rise slower than March; March current account surplus as expected
Japan: April bank loans rise slower than March; March current account surplus as expected
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Japan: April bank loans rise slower than March; March current account surplus as expected
Data from Japan not the focus
JPY
Reply
India and Pakistan both claim victory as ceasefire seems to hold 
India and Pakistan both claim victory as ceasefire seems to hold 
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
India and Pakistan both claim victory as ceasefire seems to hold 
India and Pakistan have both claimed victory after a ceasefire was declared over the weekend, which brought the two nuclear nations back from the brink of war.
India
Macroeconomics
Reply
South Korean initial exports data for May - down 23.8% y/y in first 10 days of the month
South Korean initial exports data for May - down 23.8% y/y in first 10 days of the month
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
South Korean initial exports data for May - down 23.8% y/y in first 10 days of the month
Barf
KRW
Reply
Trade ideas thread - Monday, 12 May, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Trade ideas thread - Monday, 12 May, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Trade ideas thread - Monday, 12 May, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Post 'em if ya got 'em!
USD
Reply
US President Donald Trump says he’ll sign executive order that aims to cut drug prices
US President Donald Trump says he’ll sign executive order that aims to cut drug prices
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US President Donald Trump says he’ll sign executive order that aims to cut drug prices
US President Donald Trump announced Sunday that he will sign an executive order that would cut prescription drug and pharmaceutical prices "almost immediately, by 30% to 80%.”
TradeWar
UnitedStates
Macroeconomics
Reply
UK hiring outlook hits post-COVID low as employer confidence weakens
UK hiring outlook hits post-COVID low as employer confidence weakens
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
UK hiring outlook hits post-COVID low as employer confidence weakens
CIPD employment intentions gauge fell from +13 to +8
GBP
Reply
AUD/USD gathers strength above 0.6400 amid optimism in US-China trade talks
AUD/USD gathers strength above 0.6400 amid optimism in US-China trade talks
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
AUD/USD gathers strength above 0.6400 amid optimism in US-China trade talks
The AUD/USD pair edges higher to around 0.6420 during the early Asian session on Monday. Optimism in US-China trade negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland, boosts the Australian Dollar (USD) against the Greenback. 
Majors
AUDUSD
Macroeconomics
Reply
Heads up for Chinese President Xi to speak publicly on May 13
Heads up for Chinese President Xi to speak publicly on May 13
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Heads up for Chinese President Xi to speak publicly on May 13
China's President Xi Jinping schedueld speaking engagement
China
Reply
US, China cite ‘substantial progress’ in Geneva trade talks - Bloomberg
US, China cite ‘substantial progress’ in Geneva trade talks - Bloomberg
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
US, China cite ‘substantial progress’ in Geneva trade talks - Bloomberg
China's Vice Premier He Lifeng described the weekend talks with US officials as “an important first step” in stabilising bilateral trade relations, per Bloomberg.
China
UnitedStates
Macroeconomics
Reply
China’s CPI inflation arrives at -0.1% YoY in April vs. 0.1% expected
China’s CPI inflation arrives at -0.1% YoY in April vs. 0.1% expected
News Discussion Forum
By Fxstreet
China’s CPI inflation arrives at -0.1% YoY in April vs. 0.1% expected
China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped at an annual pace of 0.1% in April after declining 0.1% in March.
China
PPI
CPI
Inflation
Macroeconomics
Reply
Trump says prescription drug and pharma prices will be reduced almost immediately
Trump says prescription drug and pharma prices will be reduced almost immediately
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Trump says prescription drug and pharma prices will be reduced almost immediately
Good news for those reliant on drugs and pharma for their health
Politics
SPX
Reply
FT: Chinese companies accelerating a purge of foreign components from their supply chains
FT: Chinese companies accelerating a purge of foreign components from their supply chains
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
FT: Chinese companies accelerating a purge of foreign components from their supply chains
Financial Times with the info
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
Reply
Globex is not even open yet and already we are getting 4-letter words in market headlines
Globex is not even open yet and already we are getting 4-letter words in market headlines
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
Globex is not even open yet and already we are getting 4-letter words in market headlines
USD/JPY up at 146.20 "amid US-China trade hope"
JPY
SPX
Reply
ICYMI - Chinese CPI and PPI data over the weekend showed risk of further deflation spiral
ICYMI - Chinese CPI and PPI data over the weekend showed risk of further deflation spiral
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
ICYMI - Chinese CPI and PPI data over the weekend showed risk of further deflation spiral
While we wait for US futures to open - Chinese April inflation CPI and PPI go backwards again
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
Reply
China says Geneva trade talk meeting a first step; differences &frictions remain; win-win
China says Geneva trade talk meeting a first step; differences &frictions remain; win-win
News Discussion Forum
By Forex Live
China says Geneva trade talk meeting a first step; differences &frictions remain; win-win
Agreed to to agree about how to meet again
Politics
China
USD
Reply
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