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Oleh
US CPI data due imminently. The ranges of estimates (& why they're crucial to know)
Unexpected US data results can significantly affect markets
Bonds
SPX
Nasdaq
USD
Oleh
ForexLive European FX news wrap: UK inflation eases, markets eye US CPI report
Forex news from the European morning session on Jan 15, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
Oleh
OPEC sees 2026 world oil demand keeping pace with their forecast for this year
The bloc continues to anticipate a much stronger outlook for global oil demand compared to others
Oil
Oleh
US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 10 January +33.3% vs -3.7% prior
Latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association for the week ending 10 January 2025
USD
Oleh
US Dollar off the lows with dust settling over CPI releases
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, is off the lows for now on Wednesday in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release aftermath. Numbers came in either in line or a touch softer than expected,
DollarIndex
Macroeconomics
UnitedStates
SEO
Oleh
United Kingdom 10-y Bond Auction climbed from previous 4.332% to 4.808%
United Kingdom 10-y Bond Auction climbed from previous 4.332% to 4.808%
Bonds
UnitedKingdom
GBPUSD
Oleh
Germany 30-y Bond Auction up to 2.84% from previous 2.55%
Germany 30-y Bond Auction up to 2.84% from previous 2.55%
EURUSD
Bonds
Germany
Oleh
Breaking: US CPI increased as expected in December
The US Consumer Price Index is set to rise 2.9% YoY in December.
EURUSD
Inflation
CPI
SEO
Breaking
Oleh
Eurozone November industrial production +0.2% vs +0.3% m/m expected
Latest data released by Eurostat - 15 January 2025
EUR
Oleh
USD/JPY tumbles to near 157.00 as Yen strengthens after BoJ Ueda’s hawkish remarks
The USD/JPY pair falls sharply to near 157.00 in Wednesday’s European session.
USDJPY
BOJ
Fed
Inflation
DollarIndex
Oleh
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data.
Silver
Commodities
Metals
Oleh
WTI edges lower to near $76.50 despite tighter supply concerns, declining US stockpiles
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price remains in the negative territory for the second successive day, trading around $76.60 per barrel during the European session on Wednesday.
Oil
WTI
Macroeconomics
Commodities
Oleh
What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?
Knowing the range of expectations is important, but the distribution of forecasts is another key input in the market's reaction
market overview
Oleh
German economy seen shrinking in 2024 from preliminary estimates
Germany posts a preliminary GDP of -0.2% year-on-year for 2024
EUR
Oleh
Germany Real GDP Growth in line with expectations (-0.2%)
Germany Real GDP Growth in line with expectations (-0.2%)
GDP
EURUSD
Germany
Oleh
ECB's Villeroy: We have practically won the battle against inflation
Big words from Villeroy
ECB
Oleh
ECB's de Guindos: The disinflation process is well on track
Remarks by ECB vice president, Luis de Guindos
ECB
Oleh
UK stocks lead the way at the open today
European indices generally higher to kick start the session
Stocks
Oleh
Pound Sterling gains on soft UK inflation, mix US CPI data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surges to near 1.2300 against the US Dollar (USD) in Wednesday’s North American session after the release of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December, which showed mixed numbers.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
Inflation
SEO
Oleh
Spain December final CPI +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INE - 15 January 2025
EUR
Oleh
Traders step up odds of BOE rate cut for next month
The odds of a 25 bps rate cut for the 6 February decision are now at ~82%
BOE
Oleh
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 0.2% in December
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 0.2% in December
France
Inflation
Oleh
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (1.8%) in December
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (1.8%) in December
EURUSD
France
CPI
Oleh
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in December
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in December
EURUSD
France
CPI
Oleh
France December final CPI +1.3% vs +1.3% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INSEE - 15 January 2025
EUR
Oleh
Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate below expectations (6%): Actual (5.75%)
Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate below expectations (6%): Actual (5.75%)
GDP
InterestRate
Indonesia
Oleh
Forex Today: US Dollar bides time ahead of US CPI inflation test
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, January 15: Markets are witnessing a typical cautious environment before the release of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, which will provide fresh insights on the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates trajectory.
DollarIndex
Inflation
EconomicIndicator
RiskAversion
Oleh
Japan shatters annual visitor record in 2024
A weaker yen has been a contributive factor to the tourism boom in Japan this past year
JPY
Oleh
Eurostoxx futures +0.2% in early European trading
The rebound yesterday looks to be sticking
Stocks
Oleh
United Kingdom Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 3.2% below forecasts (3.4%) in December
United Kingdom Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 3.2% below forecasts (3.4%) in December
Consumption
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
Oleh
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.5% below forecasts (2.7%) in December
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.5% below forecasts (2.7%) in December
Consumption
Housing
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
Oleh
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) n.s.a registered at -1.5%, below expectations (-1.3%) in December
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) n.s.a registered at -1.5%, below expectations (-1.3%) in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
Oleh
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (0.4%) in December
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (0.4%) in December
Consumption
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
Oleh
Germany December wholesale price index +0.1% vs 0.0% m/m prior
Latest data released by Destatis - 15 January 2025
EUR
Oleh
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.1% below forecasts (0.2%) in December
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.1% below forecasts (0.2%) in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
Oleh
United Kingdom PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a dipped from previous 1.6% to 1.5% in December
United Kingdom PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a dipped from previous 1.6% to 1.5% in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
Oleh
FX option expiries for Jan 15 NY cut
FX option expiries for Jan 15 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
Oleh
Japan finance minister Kato says will take appropriate action against excessive FX moves
Further remarks on the day by Kato
JPY
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