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USD/CHF down as soft US data and China slowdown hit sentiment
The USD/CHF is trading with losses, staying close to its recent lows after a wave of soft US data and deteriorating macro signals from China triggered broad risk-off flows in the market.
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Oleh
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q2 is 2.4%
The Q1 GDP numbers released today showed the 1st estimate at -0.3%
USD
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Oleh
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USTR Jamieson: We are 'some weeks out' on trade deals
July 9 ticks closer
Politics
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Oleh
Fxstreet
EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Sterling slips as euro regains traction post-Europe
The EUR/GBP is trading with mild gains on Wednesday, hovering around the mid-0.8500 zone following the European session. The pair rebounded within the day’s range, showing modest upward pressure.
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Oleh
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Trump says he hopes for a deal with China 'at a certain point'
Comments from Trump
Politics
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Oleh
Fxstreet
GBP/USD drops as US economy shrinks, inflation holds firm
The Pound Sterling tumbled against the US dollar as the economy in the United States contracted, as revealed by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for Q1 2025. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3331, down 0.51%
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Oleh
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Saudi officials have told allies they can sustain a prolonged period of low prices
That sounds like the Saudis are threatening a price war
Oil
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Oleh
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Euro falls to a fresh session low
Volatile trading at month end
EUR
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls remain favored despite intraday setback
After the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD was seen moving lower toward the 1.1350 area, retreating modestly from earlier highs. Despite this intraday softness, the pair maintains a bullish outlook, largely supported by the positioning of its moving averages.
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Oleh
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Visa sees no problems whatsoever in the economy, anywhere
Aside from some travel slowdown, the message from the company is that the consumer is strong
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Copper vulnerable as China holiday looms and CTA liquidations intensify – TDS
Weak Chinese manufacturing PMIs kicked off the selling activity in Copper, but CTA selling activity into the liquidity vacuum has exacerbated the downside with algos on track to sell more than -7% of their max size, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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Oleh
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"I Do as the President Says"
Trump LIVE: U.S President Donald Trump Holds Cabinet Meeting
Politics
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Chinese Gold ETF outflows signal holiday-liquidity risks, not trend shift – TDS
Chinese Gold ETFs recorded their largest outflows in 264 trading sessions, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
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Oleh
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EIA weekly crude oil inventories -2696K vs +429K expected
Weekly US petroleum data for the week ending April 25, 2025
Oil
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Oleh
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US-Ukraine minerals deal hits a last-minute hurdle
The deal was expected to be signed today
ukraine
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Breaking: US core PCE inflation softens to 2.6% in March as expected
Inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, edged lower to 2.3% on a yearly basis in March from 2.5% in February, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Wednesday. This reading came in above the market expectation of 2.2%
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Oleh
Fxstreet
USD/CAD remains unchanged above 1.3800 after US/Canada GDP data
The USD/CAD pair has not moved much and stays around 1.3830 during the North American trading session on Wednesday after the release of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data of both the United States (US) and Canada.
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US pending home sales for March 6.1% vs 1.0% estimate
US pending home sales for March 2025
USD
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US March PCE core +2.6% y/y vs +2.6% expected
Highlights of the US March PCE report
USD
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Gold holds the lows for the fourth time
Time to buy the dip?
Gold
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Oleh
Fxstreet
China April PMIs show trade war hit – ABN AMRO
China’s April manufacturing PMIs clearly hit by US-China trade war. Official non-manufacturing PMI and composite PMI also came down. Concrete signs of export shock make stepping up of support likely.
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Trump blames Biden, says to be patient
Trump posts after negative GDP
Politics
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Oleh
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Watch out for a hot print in the PCE report today
The PCE price index data is due at 10 am ET
USD
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Treasury quarterly refunding coupon auction sizes unchanged
Sees steady auction sizes for next several quarters
Bonds
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Canada GDP for February -0.2% versus 0.0% estimate
Canada GDP for February 2025
CAD
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Oleh
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US Q1 advance GDP -0.3% vs +0.3% expected
The first look at USA growth numbers for the first quarter of 2025
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
US ADP private sector employment rises 62,000 in April vs. 108,000 expected
Private sector employment in the US rose 62,000 in April and annual paw was up 4.5% year-over-year, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday.
UnitedStates
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ADP April US employment +62K vs +115K expected
Results of the private payrolls survey for April 2025
USD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
Germany annual CPI inflation declines to 2.1% in April
Inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged lower to 2.1% on a yearly basis in April from 2.2% in March, Destatis' flash estimate showed on Wednesday.
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Germany April preliminary CPI (HICP) +2.2% vs +2.1% y/y expected
Latest data released by Destatis - 30 April 2025
EUR
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Oleh
Fxstreet
JPY is underperforming on data disappointment – Scotiabank
Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.5% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all the G10 currencies on the back of weaker than expected industrial production and retail sales data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Japan
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Oleh
Fxstreet
GBP soft in quiet trade, consolidating recent rally – Scotiabank
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most G10 currencies in quiet, mixed trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Oleh
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CAD holds trading range – Scotiabank
April has been good for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) (it’s strongest month against the US Dollar (USD) since 2019) but spot continues to range trade, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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BOC
USDCAD
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Oleh
Fxstreet
USD consolidates ahead of GDP – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) continues to consolidate and is trading mixed versus its major currency peers on the session.
Technical Analysis
Fed
Banks
DollarIndex
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Oleh
Fxstreet
EUR marginally weaker – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is down a marginal 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD), trading quietly and consolidating within a narrow band at the lower end of its three-week range, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Oleh
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Forexlive European FX news wrap: Eurozone GDP beats, inflation remains in check (for now)
Forex news from the European morning session on Apr 30, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
News Discussion Forum
Oleh
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Ukraine is ready to sign US resource deal as early as Wednesday
Bloomberg reporting citing person familiar with the matter
Politics
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Oleh
Fxstreet
US Dollar Index stuck while recession and stagflation fears resurface
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, trades flat at 99.30 at the time of writing on Wednesday.
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