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Were the last six weeks all a bad dream?
Deutsche Bank on the state of play after the latest twist
market overview
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Fxstreet
Brent Crude Oil surges on US–China agreement and easing recession fears
Brent Crude Oil has extended gains at the start of the trading week, buoyed by a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions and improving macroeconomic sentiment.
Oil
Energy
WTI
Brent
TradeWar
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Fxstreet
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro drifts near 1.1100 as bearish momentum builds
The EUR/USD pair traded near the 1.1100 zone on Monday, reflecting a sharp drop after the European session as sellers gained control. The pair remains within the middle of its daily range, suggesting that while bearish pressure is dominant, the market lacks a clear breakout signal.
EURUSD
Currencies
Majors
Technical Analysis
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Fxstreet
Fed's Kugler: Still expect increase in prices and slowdown in the economy
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said that if tariffs prove to be long-lasting, she would focus on how global supply chains are rearranged in response, while she acknowledged that the recent reduction in US-China tariffs was clearly an improvement in bilateral trade relations, though tariff l
Fed
Currencies
DollarIndex
InterestRate
Inflation
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Tariff uncertainty will be a drag on competitive dynamics
Who is going to truly compete
USD
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GBP/USD crashes on US-China trade truce boosting US Dollar
The Pound Sterling (GBP) collapsed by over 0.71% or 90 pips on Monday, following developments over the weekend that boosted the US Dollar (USD). News of the US-China de-escalation of the trade war weighed on the Sterling, which plummeted from around 1.3298.
GBPUSD
Majors
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
Currencies
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Sees more downside below 200-day EMA
The NZD/USD pair tumbles to near 0.5870 during North American trading hours on Monday. The Kiwi pair falls sharply as the demand for the US Dollar (USD) has increased after the comments from Washington signaled that the trade war between the United States (US) and China has been averted.
NZDUSD
RBNZ
China
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
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Trump with more on China: I think we will have a deal
More from the President
Politics
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Fxstreet
Fed’s Kugler: Progress on disinflation has slowed
Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler said on Monday that Fed officials were finding it difficult to assess the underlying strength of the economy, citing rapid shifts in trade policy and the resulting impact on households and businesses that had rushed to purchase imported goods earlier in the ye
Fed
Inflation
Currencies
InterestRate
DollarIndex
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Fed's Kugler: Trade policy shifting but still likely to lead to higher prices and less GDP
Kugler on the wires
Fed
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Fxstreet
Trade thaw undermines ley Gold drivers – TDS
Developments on trade over the weekend were as close to an about-face as one could have hoped for, TDS' Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.
Banks
Gold
XAUUSD
Metals
Commodities
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President Trump: We achieved total reset with China
United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Monday that he may speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week, as negotiations between the two economic powers show signs of progress toward a potential trade agreement.
UnitedStates
China
TradeWar
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AUD/USD turns upside down to near 0.6400 after US-China trade truce
The AUD/USD pair gives back initial gains and turns negative during North American trading hours on Monday.
AUDUSD
UnitedStates
China
Employment
DollarIndex
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Trump: We achieved a total reset with China
Comments from Trump in today's press conference
Politics
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Trump set to speak on pharma
Talk might turn to tariffs and China
Politics
USD
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Gold is being put to the test today
So far the May 1 low has held
Gold
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Fxstreet
EUR tumbles 1.5% on the day – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 1.5% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and seeing its largest one day decline since early November, around the time of the US election, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
EURUSD
Banks
Technical Analysis
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CAD is down ‘only’ 0.3% vs. USD and a relative outperformer – Scotiabank
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is weak, down 0.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) but a relative outperformer against all of the G10 currencies with the CAD’s peer currencies showing much greater declines in response to the US/China trade détente, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
Technical Analysis
Canada
BOC
USDCAD
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USD surges on US/China détente as markets reprice Fed cuts – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) is up broadly with meaningful gains against all of the G10 currencies as markets respond to the de-escalation in trade tensions between the US and China.
Technical Analysis
Fed
Banks
DollarIndex
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USD/JPY 12-month forecast remains at 140.00 despite surge from US-China trade deal – Rabobank
News that the US and China have reached an agreement that substantially lowers trade tariffs between them for 90 days has sparked a wave of optimism that has supported risky assets and weighed on safe havens.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY
Banks
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US-China breakthrough leads to a breakout
Huge moves greet Monday markets as the US and China reverse tariffs
CNY
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Gold drops as US-China tariff reduction weighs on safe-haven demand
Gold prices are under significant pressure in Monday’s session, weighed down by improving global risk sentiment and a strengthening US Dollar (USD).
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD
Metals
Gold
Fundamental Analysis
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: US, China strike deal to lower tariffs after talks
Forex news from the European morning session on May 12, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Europe
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Mexican Peso dips as firm US outlook and rate divergence lift the Dollar
The Mexican Peso is trading lower against the US Dollar on Monday, as renewed US growth optimism and ongoing policy divergence continue to weigh on emerging market currencies.
Currencies
SEO
USDMXN
Banxico
Fundamental Analysis
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Bessent: I could see a Trump-Xi call happening in the coming weeks, months
Further remarks by US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent
Politics
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Fxstreet
GBP: The strongest story in G10? – ING
This will be a busy week in the UK data calendar, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
UnitedKingdom
Malaysia
EURGBP
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Bessent: It is implausible that tariffs on China go below 10%
Bessent adds that the ceiling for China tariffs will be the 2 April level i.e. 54%
Politics
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Fxstreet
USD/CNH struggles below 50-DMA resistance near 7.28 – Société Générale
USD/CNH remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 50-DMA, with downside risks intensifying should the 7.18 support give way, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
Technical Analysis
USDCNY
USDCNH
Banks
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How is the China camp painting the trade deal situation back home?
It's mostly positive but like any war, there has to be a winner and a loser in some sense
Politics
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Fxstreet
EUR/GBP extends losing streak on sluggish US-EU trade talks
The EUR/GBP pair extends its losing streak for the sixth trading day on Monday. The pair slides to near 0.8415 during European trading hours as the Euro (EUR) weakens after the announcement of a 90-day tariff pause by the United States (US) and China earlier in the day.
China
UnitedStates
BOE
EURGBP
DollarIndex
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US Dollar steadies near one-month high with US-China deal to temporarily lower tariffs
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, exceeds a more than 1% rally on Monday after China and the United States (US) agreed to a 90-day pause in their trade war by slashing tariffs on both sides.
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SEO
Macroeconomics
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Copper jumps on trade optimism – ING
Copper and other industrial metals rose this morning, with easing trade tensions giving metals markets a boost. At a briefing following the talks, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said neither nation wanted their economies to decouple.
Metals
Gold
Copper
Commodities
Banks
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USD: DXY support Ssen near 100.0 ahead of key US inflation data – ING
US President Donald Trump described this weekend's US-China meetings in Switzerland as 'very good' and said a 'total reset' is being negotiated. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent led the negotiations and said 'substantial progress' has been made.
Technical Analysis
TradeWar
Banks
DollarIndex
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Bessent: We want a decoupling with China for strategic necessities
Bessent comments to CNBC in an interview
Politics
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Forex Live
How have interest rates expectations changed after the US-China news?
The hawkish repricing across the board continues...
market overview
News Discussion Forum
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Fxstreet
US Nat Gas opens lower on storage surplus – ING
US natural gas prices fell early Thursday as rising inventories outweighed modest weather-driven demand expectations, with the supply surplus building faster than anticipated, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
Energy
UnitedStates
Gas
Banks
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US-China deal reportedly does not cover de minimis exemption for e-commerce shipments
Reuters reports, citing a source brief on the talks
Politics
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Forex Live
More from BoE's Greene: Disinflation process in underway
Further remarks from BoE's policymaker, Megan Greene
GBP
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Forex Live
BOE's Greene: Wage, inflation measures are moving in the right course but still too high
Remarks by BOE policymaker, Megan Greene
BOE
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