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What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?
Knowing the range of expectations is important, but the distribution of forecasts is another key input in the market's reaction
market overview
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German economy seen shrinking in 2024 from preliminary estimates
Germany posts a preliminary GDP of -0.2% year-on-year for 2024
EUR
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Germany Real GDP Growth in line with expectations (-0.2%)
Germany Real GDP Growth in line with expectations (-0.2%)
GDP
EURUSD
Germany
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ECB's de Guindos: The disinflation process is well on track
Remarks by ECB vice president, Luis de Guindos
ECB
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UK stocks lead the way at the open today
European indices generally higher to kick start the session
Stocks
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Pound Sterling gains on soft UK inflation, mix US CPI data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surges to near 1.2300 against the US Dollar (USD) in Wednesday’s North American session after the release of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December, which showed mixed numbers.
GBPUSD
Fed
BOE
Inflation
SEO
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Spain December final CPI +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INE - 15 January 2025
EUR
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Traders step up odds of BOE rate cut for next month
The odds of a 25 bps rate cut for the 6 February decision are now at ~82%
BOE
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France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 0.2% in December
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 0.2% in December
France
Inflation
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France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (1.8%) in December
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (1.8%) in December
EURUSD
France
CPI
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France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in December
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in December
EURUSD
France
CPI
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France December final CPI +1.3% vs +1.3% y/y prelim
Latest data released by INSEE - 15 January 2025
EUR
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Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate below expectations (6%): Actual (5.75%)
Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate below expectations (6%): Actual (5.75%)
GDP
InterestRate
Indonesia
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Forex Today: US Dollar bides time ahead of US CPI inflation test
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, January 15: Markets are witnessing a typical cautious environment before the release of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, which will provide fresh insights on the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates trajectory.
DollarIndex
Inflation
EconomicIndicator
RiskAversion
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Japan shatters annual visitor record in 2024
A weaker yen has been a contributive factor to the tourism boom in Japan this past year
JPY
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Eurostoxx futures +0.2% in early European trading
The rebound yesterday looks to be sticking
Stocks
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United Kingdom Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 3.2% below forecasts (3.4%) in December
United Kingdom Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 3.2% below forecasts (3.4%) in December
Consumption
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
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United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.5% below forecasts (2.7%) in December
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.5% below forecasts (2.7%) in December
Consumption
Housing
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
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United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) n.s.a registered at -1.5%, below expectations (-1.3%) in December
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) n.s.a registered at -1.5%, below expectations (-1.3%) in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
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United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (0.4%) in December
United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3% below forecasts (0.4%) in December
Consumption
UnitedKingdom
CPI
GBPUSD
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Germany December wholesale price index +0.1% vs 0.0% m/m prior
Latest data released by Destatis - 15 January 2025
EUR
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United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.1% below forecasts (0.2%) in December
United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.1% below forecasts (0.2%) in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
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United Kingdom PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a dipped from previous 1.6% to 1.5% in December
United Kingdom PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a dipped from previous 1.6% to 1.5% in December
Prices
PPI
UnitedKingdom
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FX option expiries for Jan 15 NY cut
FX option expiries for Jan 15 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time via DTCC can be found below.
Options
Currencies
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Japan finance minister Kato says will take appropriate action against excessive FX moves
Further remarks on the day by Kato
JPY
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Japan’s Kato: Will closely monitor discussions at BoJ’s policy meeting next week
Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Wednesday that he “will closely monitor discussions at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy meeting next week.” Additional quotes Expect the BoJ to conduct monetary policy appropriately.
Japan
BOJ
InterestRate
USDJPY
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Japan finance minister says will closely monitor discussions at BOJ meeting next week
Remarks by Japan finance minister, Katsunobu Kato
JPY
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US inflation data to take center stage today
Will the price numbers be a catalyst for 10-year Treasury yields to tip over 4.80%?
market overview
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USD/CHF softens below 0.9150 as investors await US CPI release
The USD/CHF pair trades with a mild negative bias around 0.9120 during the early European session on Wednesday.
USDCHF
Majors
Macroeconomics
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EUR/USD steadies around 1.0300 as US Dollar remains subdued ahead of US CPI
EUR/USD remains steady following recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around 1.0300 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
EURUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
Eurozone
ECB
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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting the US CPI data, USD/JPY fell on Ueda
Forex news for Asian trading on Wednesday, January 15, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Asia
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More from Bank of Japan Governor Ueda - lots of positive talk about wage hikes
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda speaking at a BoJ branch manager meeting
BOJ
JPY
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GBP/USD trades with mild negative bias around 1.2200 ahead of UK/US inflation data
The GBP/USD pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Wednesday, albeit it lacks follow-through and remains well within the previous day's broader trading range.
GBPUSD
BOE
CPI
Fed
Currencies
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European Central Bank speeches today from de Guindos, Villeroy, Vujcic
ECB events for Wednesday, January 15, 2025
ECB
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BoJ Gov Ueda says will raise rates if improvement in economy & price conditions continues
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda
BOJ
JPY
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TikTok making plans to disable its app for U.S. users on Sunday
A federal law banning the platform takes effect that day
General
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Federal Reserve speakers coming up Wednesday, January 15, 2025
CPI data first, followed by plenty of Fed speakers
Fed
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