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A quiet one on the agenda to start the week
It is also a US holiday but we have Trump's inauguration to look forward to
economic calendar

ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: USD weaker session – no tariff news is good news
Forex news for Asian trading on Monday, January 20, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Asia

Is the Stock Market Open Today?
Here's what's open and closed for trading today on Monday, January 20, 2025
site news
General
Stocks

Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) (Nov) -0.3% (expected 0.1%, prior 0.1%)
A miss on estimates will not be welcome news for the Bank of Japan.
JPY

Japan data - Industrial Production (MoM) (Nov)-2.2% (expected -2.3%, prior -2.3%)
Final industrial output data from Japan for November 2024
JPY

Trump to declare a National Energy Emergency - will enable him to use new powers
"Drill, baby, drill" to be the catchphrase
Oil

USD/CAD trades with negative bias below multi-year peak, around mid-1.4400s
The USD/CAD pair retreated slightly after touching its highest level since March 2020 during the Asian session on Monday and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak.
USDCAD
Fed
InterestRate
MiddleEast
Currencies

Japanese Yen Futures Analysis for Today
Bullish Above: 0.0064530 (January 15th Value Area High).Bearish Below: 0.0064435 (today’s developing VWAP and Friday’s POC).
JPY

Reports that a Tesla vehicle on autopilot has crashed into a retail store
In San Francisco
SPX
Nasdaq

USD/INR drifts lower as traders brace for Trump’s inauguration
The Indian Rupee (INR) strengthens on Monday after logging its worst week in 18 months in the previous week.
USDINR
SEO
India
EmergingMarkets
Macroeconomics

China's Vice President Han Zheng meets Musk and also Vance
Han expresses willingness to work with US to enhance China-US relations
Politics
China

Japanese Yen surrenders modest intraday gains against USD ahead of Trump's inaugural speech
The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some dip-buyers following an Asian session downtick and stalls its retracement slide from a near four-week high touched against its American counterpart on Friday.
USDJPY
BOJ
InterestRate
Fed
SEO

Its started - the Fed blackout period, that is
There are no Federal Reserve speakers for a couple of weeks ahead
Fed

Trump says he'll sign nearly 100 executive orders within hours of taking office
Trump will take office at noon, US Eastern time, on January 20
Politics

Apple has cut the price of some iPhone models in China - government subsidy announced
A bit of an increase in consumer demand will be the government plan
China

NZD/USD gathers strength to near 0.5600, Trump 2.0 in focus
The NZD/USD pair holds positive ground around 0.5600 during the Asian trading hours on Monday.
NZDUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics
PBOC

2 reasons (and others) Barclays still like USD/JPY
1. The BoJ priced in, and 2. risk surrounding Trump

Recapping Japan’s core machinery orders in November, results exceeding expectations
The Bank of Japan will eye this report favourably. Its not a game changer but another straw on the camel's back.
JPY

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1886 vs. 7.1889 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1886 as compared to Friday's fix of 7.1889 and 7.3353 Reuters estimates.
USDCNY
PBOC
CentralBanks
Currencies

PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1886 (vs. estimate at 7.3353)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
pboc

PBOC leaves Loan Prime Rates unchanged in January
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, announced to leave its Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged on Monday.
PBOC
CentralBanks
China
InterestRate
Macroeconomics

GBP/USD ticks higher on softer USD; lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.2200
The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a slightly positive note and reverses a part of Friday's decline, though the uptick lacks follow-through or bullish conviction.

Bank of Japan expected to raise rates this week - but there is a hurdle to overcome first
BoJ watching the market's reaction to Trump's inauguration and his actions immediately following
BOJ
JPY

Bank of America survey shows long US dollar is now considered the most crowded trade
Which makes for an obvious headwind.
USD


PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.3353 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
pboc

Japan November machine orders rocket higher: +3.4% m/m (expected -0.4%) +10.3% y/y (+5.6%)
A leading indicator of capital spending in the coming six to nine months
JPY

JP Morgan forecasts a PBOC RRR and rate cut after Lunar New Year
And more fiscal support announcements in March
CNY
China Stock Market
China
CNH
pboc

PBOC may cut RRR before the Lunar New Year holiday
First day of the holiday is January 29
CNY
China Stock Market
CNH
pboc

AUD/USD holds below 0.6200 ahead of Trump’s inauguration
The AUD/USD pair weakens to around 0.6190, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early Asian session on Monday.
AUDUSD
Majors
Macroeconomics

Nomura are expecting a March Fed rate cut then a US inflationary shock due to tariffs
Nomura Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) outlook
Fed

Reminder - US markets are closed on Monday, January 20, 2025
Martin Luther King Day
Bonds
SPX
Nasdaq

Trump spoke at a rally - hinted at action on immigration and energy (nothing on tariffs)
Trump spoke at a rally ahead of his inauguration
Politics

Leaks around Trump's 'day one' executive orders have not mentioned tariffs at all
Which, of course, doesn't mean we don't get any - but so far so good
Politics

Economic calendar in Asia Monday, January 20, 2025 - PBOC Loan Prime Rate (LPR) day
Asian Economic Calendar: Key Events and Consensus Expectations for 20 January 2025
economic calendar
pboc

Trade ideas thread - Monday, 20 January, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Join the discussion and stay ahead in the forex market.
USD